COVID-19, tuberculosis, and HIV triad: a prospective observational study in ambulatory patients in Kenya, Uganda, and South Africa

People living with HIV (PLHIV) have an increased risk of tuberculosis (TB) and severe COVID-19. TB and COVID-19 present with overlapping symptoms and co-infection can lead to poor outcomes. We assessed the frequency of SARS-CoV-2 positive serology and SARS-CoV-2 infection and the risk of mortality at 6 months in PLHIV with TB disease and SARS-CoV-2 infection. This multi-country, prospective, observational study, conducted between 7^th September 2020 and 7^th April 2022, included ambulatory adult PLHIV investigated for TB (with symptoms of TB or advanced HIV disease) in Kenya, Uganda, and South Africa. Testing included CD4 cell count, Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay (sputum), Determine TB LAM Ag assay (urine), chest X-ray, blood SARS-CoV-2 serology test and SARS-CoV-2 PCR (only if TB or COVID-19 symptoms). Individuals were followed for 6 months. Among 1254 participants, 1204 participants had SARS-CoV-2 serology (54% women, median CD4 344 cells/µL [IQR 132–673]), and 487 had SARS-CoV-2 PCR. SARS-CoV-2 serology positivity was 27.0% (325/1204), lower in PLHIV with CD4 counts <200 cells/µL (19.9%, 99/497) than in those with CD4 counts ≥200 cells/µL (31.6%, 222/703), p<0.001. SARS-CoV-2 PCR positivity was 8.6% (42/487) and 27.7% (135/487) had probable or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Among PLHIV with symptoms of TB or of COVID-19, 6.6% (32/487) had SARS-CoV-2 infection and TB disease. In multivariable analyses, the risk of death was higher in PLHIV with both SARS-CoV-2 infection and TB compared to those with only SARS-CoV-2 infection (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 8.90, 95%CI 1.47-53.96, p=0.017), with only TB (aHR 3.70, 95%CI 1.00-13.72, p=0.050) or with none of them (aHR 6.83, 95%CI 1.75-26.72, p=0.006). These findings support SARS-CoV-2 testing in PLHIV with symptoms of TB, and SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, especially for those with severe immunosuppression. PLHIV with COVID-19 and TB have an increased risk of mortality and would benefit from comprehensive management and close monitoring.