The recent expansion of mpox in Africa is characterized by a dramatic increase in zoonotic transmission (clade Ia) and the emergence of a new clade Ib that is transmitted from human to human by close contact. Clade Ia does not pose a threat in areas without zoonotic reservoirs. But clade Ib may spread widely, as did clade IIb which has spread globally since 2022 among men who have sex with men. It is not clear whether controlling clade Ib will be more difficult than clade IIb. The population at risk potentially counts 100 million but only a million vaccine doses are expected in the next year. Surveillance is needed with exhaustive case detection, polymerase chain reaction confirmation, clade determination, and about severe illness. Such data is needed to identify routes of transmission and core transmitters, such as sex workers. Health care workers are vaccinated to ensure their protection, but this will not curb mpox transmission. With the recent inequitable distribution of COVID-19 vaccines in mind, it is a global responsibility to ensure that low-income nations in the mpox epicenter have meaningful access to vaccines. Vaccination serves not only to reduce mortality in children but limit the risk of future mpox variants emerging that may spread in human populations globally.
The HPV-Automated Visual Evaluation (PAVE) Consortium is validating a cervical screening strategy enabling accurate cervical screening in resource-limited settings. A rapid, low-cost HPV assay permits sensitive HPV testing of self-collected vaginal specimens; HPV-negative women are reassured. Triage of positives combines HPV genotyping (four groups in order of cancer risk) and visual inspection assisted by automated cervical visual evaluation (AVE) that classifies cervical appearance as severe, indeterminate, or normal. Together, the combination predicts which women have precancer, permitting targeted management to those most needing treatment.
We analyzed CIN3+ yield for each PAVE risk level (HPV genotype crossed by AVE classification) from nine clinical sites (Brazil, Cambodia, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Eswatini, Honduras, Malawi, Nigeria, and Tanzania). Data from 1832 HPV-positive participants confirmed that HPV genotype and AVE classification each strongly and independently predict risk of histologic CIN3+. The combination of these low-cost tests provided excellent risk stratification, warranting pre-implementation demonstration projects.
The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the development of AI-driven tools to improve public health surveillance and outbreak management. While AI programs have shown promise in disease surveillance, they also present issues such as data privacy, prejudice, and human-AI interactions. This sixth session of the of the WHO Pandemic and Epidemic Intelligence Innovation Forum examines the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in public health by collecting the experience of key global health organizations, such the Boston Children's Hospital, the Global South AI for Pandemic & Epidemic Preparedness & Response (AI4PEP) network, Medicines Sans Frontières (MSF), and the University of Sydney. AI's utility in clinical care, particularly in diagnostics, medication discovery, and data processing, has resulted in improvements that may also benefit public health surveillance. However, the use of AI in global health necessitates careful consideration of ethical issues, particularly those involving data use and algorithmic bias. As AI advances, particularly with large language models, public health officials must develop governance frameworks that stress openness, accountability, and fairness. These systems should address worldwide differences in data access and ensure that AI technologies are tailored to specific local needs. Ultimately, AI's ability to improve healthcare efficiency and equity is dependent on multidisciplinary collaboration, community involvement, and inclusive AI designs in ensuring equitable healthcare outcomes to fit the unique demands of global communities.
BACKGROUND
In settings with low pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) coverage, multi-age cohort mass campaigns could increase population immunity, and fractional dosing could increase affordability. We aimed to evaluate the effect of mass campaigns on nasopharyngeal pneumococcal carriage of Pneumosil (PCV10) in children aged 1-9 years in Niger.
METHODS
In this three-arm, open-label, cluster-randomised trial, 63 clusters of one to four villages in Niger were randomly assigned (3:3:1) using block randomisation to receive campaigns consisting of a single full dose of a 10-valent PCV (Pneumosil), a single one-fifth dose of Pneumosil, or no campaign. Independently sampled carriage surveys were done among 2268 households 6 months before and after vaccination, collecting nasopharyngeal swabs from healthy children for culture and serotyping; those with contraindication to nasopharyngeal swabbing were excluded. The primary outcome was nasopharyngeal carriage of vaccine-serotype pneumococcus. We tested whether vaccine-type carriage was reduced in full-dose versus control clusters; and whether fractional doses were non-inferior to full-doses (lower bound 95% CI more than -7·5%), using generalised estimating equations to analyse cluster summaries at baseline and follow-up, controlling for covariates to estimate risk differences and their 95% CIs. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05175014) and the Pan-African Clinical Trials Registry (PACTR20211257448484).
FINDINGS
Surveys were done between Dec 22, 2021, and March 18, 2022, and between Dec 12, 2022, and March 9, 2023. The vaccination campaign ran from June 15 to Aug 2, 2022. Participants' characteristics were consistent across surveys and groups. Pre-vaccination, vaccine-type carriage was 15·6% (149 of 955 participants) in the full-dose group, 17·9% (170 of 948) in the fractional-dose group, and 18·8% (60 of 320) in the control group. Post-vaccination, vaccine-type carriage was 4·6% (44 of 967) in the full-dose group, 8·0% (77 of 962) in the fractional-dose group, and 16·5% (53 of 321) in the control group. The primary analysis showed a risk difference of -16·2% (95% CI -28·6 to -3·0) between the full-dose group and control group (p=0·002 for superiority), and -3·8% (-6·1 to -1·6) between the full-dose group and fractional-dose group, meeting the non-inferiority criteria. No adverse events were judged to be related to vaccination.
INTERPRETATION
Multi-age cohort campaigns had a marked effect on vaccine-type carriage and fractional-dose campaigns met non-inferiority criteria. Such campaigns should be considered in low-coverage settings, including humanitarian emergencies, to accelerate population protection.
In sub-Saharan Africa, reported COVID-19 numbers have been lower than anticipated, even when considering populations’ younger age. The extent to which risk factors, established in industrialised countries, impact the risk of infection and of disease in populations in sub-Saharan Africa, remains unclear. We estimated the incidence of mild and moderate COVID-19 in urban Mozambique and analysed factors associated with infection and disease in a population-based surveillance study. During December 2020-March 2022, 1,561 households (6,049 participants, median 21 years, 54.8% female, 7.3% disclosed HIV positive) of Polana Caniço, Maputo, Mozambique, were visited biweekly to report respiratory symptoms, anosmia, or ageusia, and self-administer a nasal swab for SARS-CoV-2 testing. Every three months, dried blood spots of a subset of participants (1,412) were collected for detection of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein and nucleocapsid protein. Per 1000 person-years, 364.5 (95%CI 352.8–376.1) respiratory illness episodes were reported, of which 72.2 (95%CI 60.6–83.9) were COVID-19. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence rose from 4.8% (95%CI 1.1–8.6%) in December 2020 to 34.7% (95%CI 20.2–49.3%) in June 2021, when 3.0% were vaccinated. Increasing age, chronic lung disease, hypertension, and overweight increased risk of COVID-19. Older age increased the risk of SARS-CoV-2 seroconversion. We observed no association between socio-economic status, behaviour and COVID-19 or SARS-CoV-2 seroconversion. Active surveillance in an urban population confirmed frequent COVID-19 underreporting, yet indicated that the large majority of cases were mild and non-febrile. In contrast to reports from industrialised countries, social deprivation did not increase the risk of infection nor disease.
BACKGROUND
The rate of TB in prison institutions is estimated to be 23 times higher than in the general population. Limited documentation exists regarding TB screening in Tajikistan's prisons. This study aims to report findings from a TB screening conducted in prison facilities in Tajikistan.
METHODS
A systematic TB screening was conducted between July 2022 and September 2023, following a locally adapted algorithm based on WHO recommendations. The screening yield was calculated as the proportion of confirmed TB cases, with categorical variables compared using a χ2 test.
RESULTS
A total of 7,223 screenings were conducted, identifying 31 TB cases, including 17 drug-susceptible TB cases, eight drug-resistant TB cases, and six clinically diagnosed cases. The overall screening yield was 0.43%. Notably, the screening yield was 3.4% among individuals with at least one TB symptom and 0.03% among those without TB symptoms (P < 0.001).
CONCLUSION
The identified rate of TB in these prisons is five times higher than in the general population. Symptomatic individuals had a higher likelihood of TB diagnosis, and using chest X-rays significantly improved screening yield. We recommend increasing the capacity for chest X-ray testing to enhance TB prevention and control within prison settings.
Background
Every year, 60% of deaths from diarrhoeal disease occur in low and middle-income countries due to inadequate water, sanitation, and hygiene. In these countries, diarrhoeal diseases are the second leading cause of death in children under five, excluding neonatal deaths. The approximately 100,000 people residing in the Bentiu Internally Displaced Population (IDP) camp in South Sudan have previously experienced water, sanitation, and hygiene outbreaks, including an ongoing Hepatitis E outbreak in 2021. This study aimed to assess the gaps in Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH), prioritise areas for intervention, and advocate for the improvement of WASH services based on the findings.
Methods
A cross-sectional lot quality assurance sampling (LQAS) survey was conducted in ninety-five households to collect data on water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) coverage performance across five sectors. Nineteen households were allocated to each sector, referred to as supervision areas in LQAS surveys. Probability proportional to size sampling was used to determine the number of households to sample in each sector block selected using a geographic positioning system. One adult respondent, familiar with the household, was chosen to answer WASH-related questions, and one child under the age of five was selected through a lottery method to assess the prevalence of WASH-related disease morbidities in the previous two weeks. The data were collected using the KoBoCollect mobile application. Data analysis was conducted using R statistical software and a generic LQAS Excel analyser. Crude values, weighted averages, and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for each indicator. Target coverage benchmarks set by program managers and WASH guidelines were used to classify the performance of each indicator.
Results
The LQAS survey revealed that five out of 13 clean water supply indicators, eight out of 10 hygiene and sanitation indicators, and two out of four health indicators did not meet the target coverage. Regarding the clean water supply indicators, 68.9% (95% CI 60.8%-77.1%) of households reported having water available six days a week, while 37% (95% CI 27%-46%) had water containers in adequate condition. For the hygiene and sanitation indicators, 17.9% (95% CI 10.9%-24.8%) of households had handwashing points in their living area, 66.8% (95% CI 49%-84.6%) had their own jug for cleansing after defaecation, and 26.4% (95% CI 17.4%-35.3%) of households had one piece of soap. More than 40% of households wash dead bodies at funerals and wash their hands in a shared bowl. Households with sanitary facilities at an acceptable level were 22.8% (95% CI 15.6%-30.1%), while 13.2% (95% CI 6.6%-19.9%) of households had functioning handwashing points at the latrines. Over the previous two weeks, 57.9% (95% CI 49.6–69.7%) of households reported no diarrhoea, and 71.3% (95% CI 62.1%-80.6%) reported no eye infections among children under five.
Conclusion
The camp’s hygiene and sanitation situation necessitated immediate intervention to halt the hepatitis E outbreak and prevent further WASH-related outbreaks and health issues. The LQAS findings were employed to advocate for interventions addressing the WASH gaps, resulting in WASH and health actors stepping in.