Journal Article > CommentaryFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2021 June 1; Volume 36; 100911.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100911
Batista C, Shoham S, Ergonul O, Hotez PJ, Bottazzi ME, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2021 June 1; Volume 36; 100911.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100911
Journal Article > Meta-AnalysisFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2023 February 1; Volume 56; 101815.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101815
Hamada Y, Gupta RS, Quartagno M, Izzard A, Acuna-Villaorduna C, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2023 February 1; Volume 56; 101815.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101815
BACKGROUND
Evidence on the comparative performance of purified protein derivative tuberculin skin tests (TST) and interferon-gamma release assays (IGRA) for predicting incident active tuberculosis (TB) remains conflicting. We conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis to directly compare the predictive performance for incident TB disease between TST and IGRA to inform policy.
METHODS
We searched Medline and Embase from 1 January 2002 to 4 September 2020, and studies that were included in previous systematic reviews. We included prospective longitudinal studies in which participants received both TST and IGRA and estimated performance as hazard ratios (HR) for the development of all diagnoses of TB in participants with dichotomised positive test results compared to negative results, using different thresholds of positivity for TST. Secondary analyses included an evaluation of the impact of background TB incidence. We also estimated the sensitivity and specificity for predicting TB. We explored heterogeneity through pre-defined sub-group analyses (e.g. country-level TB incidence). Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's test. This review is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020205667.
FINDINGS
We obtained data from 13 studies out of 40 that were considered eligible (N = 32,034 participants: 36% from countries with TB incidence rate ≥100 per 100,000 population). All reported data on TST and QuantiFERON Gold in-Tube (QFT-GIT). The point estimate for the TST was highest with higher cut-offs for positivity and particularly when stratified by bacillus Calmette–Guérin vaccine (BCG) status (15 mm if BCG vaccinated and 5 mm if not [TST5/15 mm]) at 2.88 (95% CI 1.69–4.90). The pooled HR for QFT-GIT was higher than for TST at 4.15 (95% CI 1.97–8.75). The difference was large in countries with TB incidence rate <100 per 100,000 population (HR 10.38, 95% CI 4.17–25.87 for QFT-GIT VS. HR 5.36, 95% CI 3.82–7.51 for TST5/15 mm) but much of this difference was driven by a single study (HR 5.13, 95% CI 3.58–7.35 for TST5/15 mm VS. 7.18, 95% CI 4.48–11.51 for QFT-GIT, when excluding the study, in which all 19 TB cases had positive QFT-GIT results). The comparative performance was similar in the higher burden countries (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.23–2.10 for QFT-GIT VS. HR 1.72, 95% CI 0.98–3.01 for TST5/15 mm). The predictive performance of both tests was higher in countries with TB incidence rate <100 per 100,000 population. In the lower TB incidence countries, the specificity of TST (76% for TST5/15 mm) and QFT-GIT (74%) for predicting active TB approached the minimum World Health Organization target (≥75%), but the sensitivity was below the target of ≥75% (63% for TST5/15 mm and 65% for QFT-GIT). The absolute differences in positive and negative predictive values between TST15 mm and QFT-GIT were small (positive predictive values 2.74% VS. 2.46%; negative predictive values 99.42% VS. 99.52% in low-incidence countries). Egger's test did not show evidence of publication bias (0.74 for TST15 mm and p = 0.68 for QFT-GIT).
INTERPRETATION
IGRA appears to have higher predictive performance than the TST in low TB incidence countries, but the difference was driven by a single study. Any advantage in clinical performance may be small, given the numerically similar positive and negative predictive values. Both IGRA and TST had lower performance in countries with high TB incidence. Test choice should be contextual and made considering operational and likely clinical impact of test results.
Evidence on the comparative performance of purified protein derivative tuberculin skin tests (TST) and interferon-gamma release assays (IGRA) for predicting incident active tuberculosis (TB) remains conflicting. We conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis to directly compare the predictive performance for incident TB disease between TST and IGRA to inform policy.
METHODS
We searched Medline and Embase from 1 January 2002 to 4 September 2020, and studies that were included in previous systematic reviews. We included prospective longitudinal studies in which participants received both TST and IGRA and estimated performance as hazard ratios (HR) for the development of all diagnoses of TB in participants with dichotomised positive test results compared to negative results, using different thresholds of positivity for TST. Secondary analyses included an evaluation of the impact of background TB incidence. We also estimated the sensitivity and specificity for predicting TB. We explored heterogeneity through pre-defined sub-group analyses (e.g. country-level TB incidence). Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's test. This review is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020205667.
FINDINGS
We obtained data from 13 studies out of 40 that were considered eligible (N = 32,034 participants: 36% from countries with TB incidence rate ≥100 per 100,000 population). All reported data on TST and QuantiFERON Gold in-Tube (QFT-GIT). The point estimate for the TST was highest with higher cut-offs for positivity and particularly when stratified by bacillus Calmette–Guérin vaccine (BCG) status (15 mm if BCG vaccinated and 5 mm if not [TST5/15 mm]) at 2.88 (95% CI 1.69–4.90). The pooled HR for QFT-GIT was higher than for TST at 4.15 (95% CI 1.97–8.75). The difference was large in countries with TB incidence rate <100 per 100,000 population (HR 10.38, 95% CI 4.17–25.87 for QFT-GIT VS. HR 5.36, 95% CI 3.82–7.51 for TST5/15 mm) but much of this difference was driven by a single study (HR 5.13, 95% CI 3.58–7.35 for TST5/15 mm VS. 7.18, 95% CI 4.48–11.51 for QFT-GIT, when excluding the study, in which all 19 TB cases had positive QFT-GIT results). The comparative performance was similar in the higher burden countries (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.23–2.10 for QFT-GIT VS. HR 1.72, 95% CI 0.98–3.01 for TST5/15 mm). The predictive performance of both tests was higher in countries with TB incidence rate <100 per 100,000 population. In the lower TB incidence countries, the specificity of TST (76% for TST5/15 mm) and QFT-GIT (74%) for predicting active TB approached the minimum World Health Organization target (≥75%), but the sensitivity was below the target of ≥75% (63% for TST5/15 mm and 65% for QFT-GIT). The absolute differences in positive and negative predictive values between TST15 mm and QFT-GIT were small (positive predictive values 2.74% VS. 2.46%; negative predictive values 99.42% VS. 99.52% in low-incidence countries). Egger's test did not show evidence of publication bias (0.74 for TST15 mm and p = 0.68 for QFT-GIT).
INTERPRETATION
IGRA appears to have higher predictive performance than the TST in low TB incidence countries, but the difference was driven by a single study. Any advantage in clinical performance may be small, given the numerically similar positive and negative predictive values. Both IGRA and TST had lower performance in countries with high TB incidence. Test choice should be contextual and made considering operational and likely clinical impact of test results.
Journal Article > ReviewFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2023 May 1; Volume 59; 101965.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.101965
Shoham S, Batista C, Ben Amor Y, Ergonul O, Hassanain M, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2023 May 1; Volume 59; 101965.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.101965
The COVID-19 pandemic has disproportionately impacted immunocompromised patients. This diverse group is at increased risk for impaired vaccine responses, progression to severe disease, prolonged hospitalizations and deaths. At particular risk are people with deficiencies in lymphocyte number or function such as transplant recipients and those with hematologic malignancies. Such patients' immune responses to vaccination and infection are frequently impaired leaving them more vulnerable to prolonged high viral loads and severe complications of COVID-19. Those in turn, have implications for disease progression and persistence, development of immune escape variants and transmission of infection. Data to guide vaccination and treatment approaches in immunocompromised people are generally lacking and extrapolated from other populations. The large clinical trials leading to authorisation and approval of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and therapeutics included very few immunocompromised participants. While experience is accumulating, studies focused on the special circumstances of immunocompromised patients are needed to inform prevention and treatment approaches.
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2020 March 1; Volume 20; 100290.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100290
Mohr-Holland E, Reuter A, Furin J, Garcia-Prats AJ, De Azevedo V, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2020 March 1; Volume 20; 100290.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100290
BACKGROUND
Limited data exist on the use of bedaquiline and delamanid in adolescents with rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB). We describe RR-TB treatment of adolescents (10-19 years) with injectable-free regimens containing these drugs in Khayelitsha, South Africa.
METHODS
This retrospective study included adolescents initiating injectable-free RR-TB treatment regimens containing bedaquiline and/or delamanid from February 2015 to June 2018. We report adverse events (AEs) of interest, sputum culture conversion (SCC), and final end-of-treatment outcomes.
FINDINGS
Twenty-two patients were included; median age at treatment initiation was 17 years (interquartile range [IQR] 15-18), and six (27%) were HIV-positive (median CD4 count 191 cells/mm3 [IQR 157-204]). Eight (36%) patients had RR-TB with fluoroquinolone resistance; ten (45%), eight (36%), and four (18%) patients received regimens containing bedaquiline, delamanid, or the combination of bedaquiline and delamanid, respectively. The median durations of exposure to bedaquiline and delamanid were 5·6 (IQR 5·5-8·4) and 9·4 (IQR 5·9-14·4) months, respectively. There were 49 AEs of interest which occurred in 17 (77%) patients. Fourteen (64%) patients had pulmonary TB with positive sputum cultures at bedaquiline and/or delamanid initiation; among these SCC at month 6 was 79%. Final end-of-treatment outcomes for the 22 adolescent were: 17 (77%) successfully treated, two (9%) lost-to-follow-up, two (9%) treatment failed, and one (5%) died
INTERPRETATION
This study found that injectable-free regimens containing bedaquiline and/or delamanid in a programmatic setting were effective and well tolerated in adolescents and should be routinely provided for RR-TB treatment in this age group as recommended by the World Health Organisation.
Limited data exist on the use of bedaquiline and delamanid in adolescents with rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB). We describe RR-TB treatment of adolescents (10-19 years) with injectable-free regimens containing these drugs in Khayelitsha, South Africa.
METHODS
This retrospective study included adolescents initiating injectable-free RR-TB treatment regimens containing bedaquiline and/or delamanid from February 2015 to June 2018. We report adverse events (AEs) of interest, sputum culture conversion (SCC), and final end-of-treatment outcomes.
FINDINGS
Twenty-two patients were included; median age at treatment initiation was 17 years (interquartile range [IQR] 15-18), and six (27%) were HIV-positive (median CD4 count 191 cells/mm3 [IQR 157-204]). Eight (36%) patients had RR-TB with fluoroquinolone resistance; ten (45%), eight (36%), and four (18%) patients received regimens containing bedaquiline, delamanid, or the combination of bedaquiline and delamanid, respectively. The median durations of exposure to bedaquiline and delamanid were 5·6 (IQR 5·5-8·4) and 9·4 (IQR 5·9-14·4) months, respectively. There were 49 AEs of interest which occurred in 17 (77%) patients. Fourteen (64%) patients had pulmonary TB with positive sputum cultures at bedaquiline and/or delamanid initiation; among these SCC at month 6 was 79%. Final end-of-treatment outcomes for the 22 adolescent were: 17 (77%) successfully treated, two (9%) lost-to-follow-up, two (9%) treatment failed, and one (5%) died
INTERPRETATION
This study found that injectable-free regimens containing bedaquiline and/or delamanid in a programmatic setting were effective and well tolerated in adolescents and should be routinely provided for RR-TB treatment in this age group as recommended by the World Health Organisation.
Journal Article > CommentaryFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2021 June 1; Volume 36; 100925.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100925
Naniche D, Hotez PJ, Bottazzi ME, Ergonul O, Figueroa J, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2021 June 1; Volume 36; 100925.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100925
Journal Article > ReviewFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2024 March 11; Volume 70; 102508.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102508
Ruef M, Emonet S, Merglen A, Dewez JE, Obama BM, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2024 March 11; Volume 70; 102508.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102508
BACKGROUND
The increasing resistance of Enterobacterales to third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenems in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is a major public health concern. We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies to estimate the carriage prevalence of Enterobacterales not susceptible to third-generation cephalosporins or carbapenems among paediatric populations in SSA.
METHODS
We performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of cross-sectional and cohort studies to estimate the prevalence of childhood (0-18 years old) carriage of extended-spectrum cephalosporin-resistant Enterobacterales (ESCR-E) or carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) in SSA. Medline, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies published from 1 January 2005 to 1 June 2022. Studies with <10 occurrences per bacteria, case reports, and meta-analyses were excluded. Quality and risk of bias were assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Meta-analyses of prevalences and odds ratios were calculated using generalised linear mixed-effects models. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2 statistics. The protocol is available on PROSPERO (CRD42021260157).
FINDINGS
Of 1111 studies examined, 40 met our inclusion criteria, reporting on the carriage prevalence of Enterobacterales in 9408 children. The pooled carriage prevalence of ESCR-E was 32.2% (95% CI: 25.2%-40.2%). Between-study heterogeneity was high (I2 = 96%). The main sources of bias pertained to participant selection and the heterogeneity of the microbiological specimens. Carriage proportions were higher among sick children than healthy ones (35.7% vs 16.9%). The pooled proportion of nosocomial acquisition was 53.8% (95% CI: 32.1%-74.1%) among the 922 children without ESCR-E carriage at hospital admission. The pooled odds ratio of ESCR-E carriage after antibiotic treatment within the previous 3 months was 3.20 (95% CI: 2.10-4.88). The proportion of pooled carbapenem-resistant for Enterobacterales was 3.6% (95% CI: 0.7%-16.4%).
INTERPRETATION
This study suggests that ESCR-E carriage among children in SSA is frequent. Microbiology capacity and infection control must be scaled-up to reduce the spread of those multidrug-resistant microorganisms.
The increasing resistance of Enterobacterales to third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenems in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is a major public health concern. We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies to estimate the carriage prevalence of Enterobacterales not susceptible to third-generation cephalosporins or carbapenems among paediatric populations in SSA.
METHODS
We performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of cross-sectional and cohort studies to estimate the prevalence of childhood (0-18 years old) carriage of extended-spectrum cephalosporin-resistant Enterobacterales (ESCR-E) or carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) in SSA. Medline, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies published from 1 January 2005 to 1 June 2022. Studies with <10 occurrences per bacteria, case reports, and meta-analyses were excluded. Quality and risk of bias were assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Meta-analyses of prevalences and odds ratios were calculated using generalised linear mixed-effects models. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2 statistics. The protocol is available on PROSPERO (CRD42021260157).
FINDINGS
Of 1111 studies examined, 40 met our inclusion criteria, reporting on the carriage prevalence of Enterobacterales in 9408 children. The pooled carriage prevalence of ESCR-E was 32.2% (95% CI: 25.2%-40.2%). Between-study heterogeneity was high (I2 = 96%). The main sources of bias pertained to participant selection and the heterogeneity of the microbiological specimens. Carriage proportions were higher among sick children than healthy ones (35.7% vs 16.9%). The pooled proportion of nosocomial acquisition was 53.8% (95% CI: 32.1%-74.1%) among the 922 children without ESCR-E carriage at hospital admission. The pooled odds ratio of ESCR-E carriage after antibiotic treatment within the previous 3 months was 3.20 (95% CI: 2.10-4.88). The proportion of pooled carbapenem-resistant for Enterobacterales was 3.6% (95% CI: 0.7%-16.4%).
INTERPRETATION
This study suggests that ESCR-E carriage among children in SSA is frequent. Microbiology capacity and infection control must be scaled-up to reduce the spread of those multidrug-resistant microorganisms.
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2024 March 21; Volume 70; 102528.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102528
d’Elbée M, Harker M, Mafirakureva N, Nanfuka M, Nguyet MHTN, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2024 March 21; Volume 70; 102528.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102528
Journal Article > CommentaryFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2021 August 3; Volume 39; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.101053
Hotez PJ, Batista C, Amor YB, Ergonul O, Figueroa J, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2021 August 3; Volume 39; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.101053
A Lancet Commission for COVID-19 task force is shaping recommendations to achieve vaccine and therapeutics access, justice, and equity. This includes ensuring safety and effectiveness harmonized through robust systems of global pharmacovigilance and surveillance. Global production requires expanding support for development, manufacture, testing, and distribution of vaccines and therapeutics to low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Global intellectual property rules must not stand in the way of research, production, technology transfer, or equitable access to essential health tools, and in context of pandemics to achieve increased manufacturing without discouraging innovation. Global governance around product quality requires channelling widely distributed vaccines through WHO prequalification (PQ)/emergency use listing (EUL) mechanisms and greater use of national regulatory authorities. A World Health Assembly (WHA) resolution would facilitate improvements and consistency in quality control and assurances. Global health systems require implementing steps to strengthen national systems for controlling COVID-19 and for influenza vaccinations for adults including pregnant and lactating women. A collaborative research network should strive to establish open access databases for bioinformatic analyses, together with programs directed at human capacity utilization and strengthening. Combating anti-science recognizes the urgency for countermeasures to address a global-wide disinformation movement dominating the internet and infiltrating parliaments and local governments.
Journal Article > ReviewFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2024 March 8; Volume 70; 102512.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102512
Kowalski M, Minka Obama B, Catho G, Dewez JE, Merglen A, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2024 March 8; Volume 70; 102512.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102512
BACKGROUND
The burden of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has been estimated to be the highest in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The current study estimated the proportion of drug-resistant Enterobacterales causing infections in SSA children.
METHODS
We searched MEDLINE/PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Library to identify retrospective and prospective studies published from 01/01/2005 to 01/06/2022 reporting AMR of Enterobacterales causing infections in sub-Saharan children (0-18 years old). Studies were excluded if they had unclear documentation of antimicrobial susceptibility testing methods or fewer than ten observations per bacteria. Data extraction and quality appraisal were conducted by two authors independently. The primary outcome was the proportion of Enterobacterales resistant to antibiotics commonly used in paediatrics. Proportions were combined across studies using mixed-effects logistic regression models per bacteria and per antibiotic. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. The protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021260157).
FINDINGS
After screening 1111 records, 122 relevant studies were included, providing data on more than 30,000 blood, urine and stool isolates. Escherichia coli and Klebsiella spp. were the predominant species, both presenting high proportions of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins, especially in blood cultures: 40.6% (95% CI: 27.7%-55%; I2: 85.7%, number of isolates (n): 1032) and 84.9% (72.8%-92.2%; I2: 94.1%, n: 2067), respectively. High proportions of resistance to other commonly used antibiotics were also observed. E. coli had high proportions of resistance, especially for ampicillin (92.5%; 95% CI: 76.4%-97.9%; I2: 89.8%, n: 888) and gentamicin (42.7%; 95% CI: 30%-56.5%; I2: 71.9%, n: 968). Gentamicin-resistant Klebsiella spp. were also frequently reported (77.6%; 95% CI: 65.5%-86.3%; I2: 91.6%, n: 1886).
INTERPRETATION
High proportions of resistance to antibiotics commonly used for empirical treatment of infectious syndromes were found for Enterobacterales in sub-Saharan children. There is a critical need to better identify local patterns of AMR to inform and update clinical guidelines for better treatment outcomes.
The burden of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has been estimated to be the highest in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The current study estimated the proportion of drug-resistant Enterobacterales causing infections in SSA children.
METHODS
We searched MEDLINE/PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Library to identify retrospective and prospective studies published from 01/01/2005 to 01/06/2022 reporting AMR of Enterobacterales causing infections in sub-Saharan children (0-18 years old). Studies were excluded if they had unclear documentation of antimicrobial susceptibility testing methods or fewer than ten observations per bacteria. Data extraction and quality appraisal were conducted by two authors independently. The primary outcome was the proportion of Enterobacterales resistant to antibiotics commonly used in paediatrics. Proportions were combined across studies using mixed-effects logistic regression models per bacteria and per antibiotic. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. The protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021260157).
FINDINGS
After screening 1111 records, 122 relevant studies were included, providing data on more than 30,000 blood, urine and stool isolates. Escherichia coli and Klebsiella spp. were the predominant species, both presenting high proportions of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins, especially in blood cultures: 40.6% (95% CI: 27.7%-55%; I2: 85.7%, number of isolates (n): 1032) and 84.9% (72.8%-92.2%; I2: 94.1%, n: 2067), respectively. High proportions of resistance to other commonly used antibiotics were also observed. E. coli had high proportions of resistance, especially for ampicillin (92.5%; 95% CI: 76.4%-97.9%; I2: 89.8%, n: 888) and gentamicin (42.7%; 95% CI: 30%-56.5%; I2: 71.9%, n: 968). Gentamicin-resistant Klebsiella spp. were also frequently reported (77.6%; 95% CI: 65.5%-86.3%; I2: 91.6%, n: 1886).
INTERPRETATION
High proportions of resistance to antibiotics commonly used for empirical treatment of infectious syndromes were found for Enterobacterales in sub-Saharan children. There is a critical need to better identify local patterns of AMR to inform and update clinical guidelines for better treatment outcomes.
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
E Clinical Medicine. 2023 December 3; Volume 67; 102362.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102362
Torre SM, Sordo L, Glaría CC, Llosa AE, Umar RD, et al.
E Clinical Medicine. 2023 December 3; Volume 67; 102362.; DOI:10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102362
BACKGROUND
Understanding and optimising mental health and psychosocial support (MHPSS) interventions in humanitarian crises is crucial, particularly for the most prevalent mental health conditions in conflict settings: anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic stress disorder. However, research on what is the most appropriate length of psychological intervention is lacking in this setting. We aimed to establish which factors are most closely related to improvement and to determine the required number of consultations needed to achieve this improvement.
METHODS
We retrospectively analysed records from 9,028 patients allocated to treatment for anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic symptoms from the MHPSS programme in Borno State, Nigeria, from January 2018 to December 2019. Patient characteristics, severity (Clinical Global Impression of Severity Scale, CGI-S scale), and clinical improvement were assessed by an attending counsellor (CGI-I scale) and by the patient (Mental Health Global State, MHGS scale). Improvement was defined as scores 1, 2, and 3 in the Clinical Global Impression of Improvement (CGI-I) scale, and as a decrease of at least 4 points in the MHGS scale. We investigated the associations between the category of symptoms, the severity of illness, and improvement of symptoms using multivariable logistic regression. We used Kaplan–Meier (KM) curves to assess the number of consultations (i.e., time of treatment) needed to achieve improvement of symptoms, by symptom category and symptom severity.
FINDINGS
The patients included were referred to treatment for anxiety (n = 3462), depression (n = 3970), or post-traumatic symptoms (n = 1596). Median age was 31 years (range 16–103), and 84.3% were female. Patients categorised as severe were less likely to present improvement according to the CGI-I scale (OR 0.11, 95% CI 0.05–0.25), while none of the other categories of symptoms showed significant results. Overall, three or more consultations were associated with improvement in both scales (OR 3.55, 95% CI 1.47–8.57 for CGI-I; and OR 3.04, 95% CI 2.36–3.90 for MHGS). KM curves for the category of symptoms showed that around 90% of patients with anxiety, depression, or post-traumatic symptoms, as well as those with mild or moderate severity, presented improvement after three consultations, compared with six consultations for those with severe symptoms.
INTERPRETATION
Classification by severity among patients with anxiety, depression, or post-traumatic symptoms could predict the probability of improvement, whereas classification by symptoms could not. Our study highlights the importance of classifying patient severity in MHPSS programmes to plan and implement the appropriate duration of care. A major limitation was the number of patients lost to follow up after the first consultation and excluded from the logistic regression and KM analysis.
Understanding and optimising mental health and psychosocial support (MHPSS) interventions in humanitarian crises is crucial, particularly for the most prevalent mental health conditions in conflict settings: anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic stress disorder. However, research on what is the most appropriate length of psychological intervention is lacking in this setting. We aimed to establish which factors are most closely related to improvement and to determine the required number of consultations needed to achieve this improvement.
METHODS
We retrospectively analysed records from 9,028 patients allocated to treatment for anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic symptoms from the MHPSS programme in Borno State, Nigeria, from January 2018 to December 2019. Patient characteristics, severity (Clinical Global Impression of Severity Scale, CGI-S scale), and clinical improvement were assessed by an attending counsellor (CGI-I scale) and by the patient (Mental Health Global State, MHGS scale). Improvement was defined as scores 1, 2, and 3 in the Clinical Global Impression of Improvement (CGI-I) scale, and as a decrease of at least 4 points in the MHGS scale. We investigated the associations between the category of symptoms, the severity of illness, and improvement of symptoms using multivariable logistic regression. We used Kaplan–Meier (KM) curves to assess the number of consultations (i.e., time of treatment) needed to achieve improvement of symptoms, by symptom category and symptom severity.
FINDINGS
The patients included were referred to treatment for anxiety (n = 3462), depression (n = 3970), or post-traumatic symptoms (n = 1596). Median age was 31 years (range 16–103), and 84.3% were female. Patients categorised as severe were less likely to present improvement according to the CGI-I scale (OR 0.11, 95% CI 0.05–0.25), while none of the other categories of symptoms showed significant results. Overall, three or more consultations were associated with improvement in both scales (OR 3.55, 95% CI 1.47–8.57 for CGI-I; and OR 3.04, 95% CI 2.36–3.90 for MHGS). KM curves for the category of symptoms showed that around 90% of patients with anxiety, depression, or post-traumatic symptoms, as well as those with mild or moderate severity, presented improvement after three consultations, compared with six consultations for those with severe symptoms.
INTERPRETATION
Classification by severity among patients with anxiety, depression, or post-traumatic symptoms could predict the probability of improvement, whereas classification by symptoms could not. Our study highlights the importance of classifying patient severity in MHPSS programmes to plan and implement the appropriate duration of care. A major limitation was the number of patients lost to follow up after the first consultation and excluded from the logistic regression and KM analysis.