Impact of non-dialysis-requiring acute kidney injury on survival outcomes in non-critically ill hospitalized medical patients in a resource-limited setting: A retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

The severe consequences of acute kidney injury (AKI) have been well-documented in high-risk patient populations. However, the effects of milder forms in non-critically ill patients remain understudied, particularly in resource-limited settings. While the risk of mortality associated with these cases is considered low, it can still lead to various complications including prolonged hospitalization, which may influence long-term renal and patient survival. Hence, the objective of this study was to study the impact of non-dialysis-requiring AKI (NDR-AKI) on survival outcomes of non-critically ill medical patients admitted to St. Paul’s Hospital Millennium Medical College in Ethiopia during the period from July 2019 to January 2022.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 300 non-critically ill medical patients, 93 with NDR-AKI and 207 without AKI. Descriptive statistics, including frequency distributions and median survival times, were employed to summarize the data. Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test were utilized to compare survival experiences of groups. A Cox proportional hazards survival model was fitted to estimate the impact of NDR-AKI on time to recovery. Adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to report findings.

RESULTS

Two hundred four (68.0%) were discharged after improvement and the median recovery time was 16 days (95%CI: 13.5-18.5 days). Having NDR-AKI was associated with a 43% lower rate of achieving recovery (AHR=0.57, 95%CI=0.38, 0.84, p-value=0.004). Females were found to have a 1.41 times higher rate of recovery (AHR=1.41, 95%CI=1.03,1.94, p-value=0.033). Additionally, having tuberculosis (AHR=0.41, 95%CI=0.23,0.72, p-value=0.002) and being on anticoagulant (AHR=0.67, 95%CI=0.47,0.95, p-value=0.027) were associated with a 59% and 33% lower rate of recovery, respectively.

CONCLUSION

NDR-AKI significantly delays recovery compared to patients without AKI suggesting that even milder forms of AKI in non-critically ill patients can negatively impact patient outcomes. Early identification, prompt management, and addressing underlying causes are key to improving recovery and reducing long-term morbidity and mortality. Strict screening and monitoring of high-risk groups such as men, patients with tuberculosis, and those on anticoagulants is also crucial.