BACKGROUND
Targeted preventive strategies in persons living with HIV (PLWH) require markers to predict visceral leishmaniasis (VL). We conducted a longitudinal study in a HIV-cohort in VL-endemic North-West Ethiopia to 1) describe the pattern of Leishmania markers preceding VL; 2) identify Leishmania markers predictive of VL; 3) develop a clinical management algorithm according to predicted VL risk levels.
METHODS
The PreLeisH study followed 490 adult PLWH free of VL at enrolment for up to two years (2017-2021). Blood RT-PCR targeting Leishmania kDNA, Leishmania serology and Leishmania urine antigen test (KAtex) were performed every 3-6 months. We calculated the sensitivity/specificity of the Leishmania markers for predicting VL and developed an algorithm for distinct clinical management strategies, with VL risk categories defined based on VL history, CD4 count and Leishmania markers (rK39 RDT & RT-PCR).
FINDINGS
At enrolment, 485 (99%) study participants were on antiretroviral treatment; 360/490 (73.5%) were male; the median baseline CD4 count was 392 (IQR 259-586) cells/μL; 135 (27.5%) had previous VL. Incident VL was diagnosed in 34 (6.9%), with 32 (94%) displaying positive Leishmania markers before VL. In those without VL history, baseline rK39 RDT had 60% sensitivity and 84% specificity to predict VL; in patients with previous VL, RT-PCR had 71% sensitivity and 95% specificity. The algorithm defined 442 (92.3%) individuals at low VL risk (routine follow-up), 31 (6.5%) as moderate risk (secondary prophylaxis) and six (1.2%) as high risk (early treatment).
INTERPRETATION
Leishmania infection markers can predict VL risk in PLWH. Interventional studies targeting those at high risk are needed.
FUNDING
The PreLeisH study was supported by grants from the Department of Economy, Science and Innovation of the Flemish Government, Belgium (757013) and the Directorate-General for Development Cooperation and Humanitarian Aid (DGD), Belgium (BE-BCE_KBO-0410057701-prg2022-5-ET).
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) co-infection is a major challenge for visceral leishmaniasis (VL) control, particularly in Ethiopia where the incidence of both pathogens is high. VL-HIV often leads to high rates of antileishmanial treatment failure and recurrent VL disease relapses. Considering the high prevalence of HIV and Leishmania in the Ethiopian population, preventing the progression of asymptomatic Leishmania infection to disease would be a valuable asset to VL disease control and to the clinical management of people living with HIV (PLWH). However, such a strategy requires good understanding of risk factors for VL development. In immunocompetent individuals living in Brazil, India, or Iran, the Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) gene region has been associated with VL development. We used NanoTYPE, an Oxford Nanopore Technologies sequencing-based HLA genotyping method, to detect associations between HLA genotype and VL development by comparing 78 PLWH with VL history and 46 PLWH that controlled a Leishmania infection, all living in a VL endemic region of North-West Ethiopia. We identified an association between HLA-A*03:01 and increased risk of VL development (OR = 3.89). These data provide candidate HLA alleles that can be further explored for inclusion in a potential Leishmania screen-and-treat strategy in VL endemic regions.
Background
People with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) with recurrent visceral leishmaniasis (VL) could potentially drive Leishmania transmission in areas with anthroponotic transmission such as East Africa, but studies are lacking. Leishmania parasitemia has been used as proxy for infectiousness.
Methods
This study is nested within the Predicting Visceral Leishmaniasis in HIV-InfectedPatients (PreLeisH) prospective cohort study, following 490 PWH free of VL at enrollment for up to 24–37 months in northwest Ethiopia. Blood Leishmania polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was done systematically. This case series reports on 10 PWH with chronic VL (≥3 VL episodes during follow-up) for up to 37 months, and 3 individuals with asymptomatic Leishmania infection for up to 24 months.
Results
All 10 chronic VL cases were male, on antiretroviral treatment, with 0–11 relapses before enrollment. Median baseline CD4 count was 82 cells/µL. They displayed 3–6 VL treatment episodes over a period up to 37 months. Leishmania blood PCR levels were strongly positive for almost the entire follow-up (median cycle threshold value, 26 [interquartile range, 23–30]), including during periods between VL treatment. Additionally, we describe 3 PWH with asymptomatic Leishmania infection and without VL history, with equally strong Leishmania parasitemia over a period of up to 24 months without developing VL. All were on antiretroviral treatment at enrollment, with baseline CD4 counts ranging from 78 to 350 cells/µL.
Conclusions
These are the first data on chronic parasitemia in PWH from Leishmania donovani–endemic areas. PWH with asymptomatic and symptomatic Leishmania infection could potentially be highly infectious and constitute Leishmania superspreaders. Xenodiagnosis studies are required to confirm infectiousness.
HIV patients with recurrent visceral leishmaniasis (VL) could potentially drive Leishmania transmission in areas with anthroponotic transmission such as East-Africa, but studies are lacking. Leishmania parasitemia has been used as proxy for infectiousness.
METHODS
This study is nested within the PreLeish prospective cohort study, following a total of 490 HIV infected individuals free of VL at enrollment for up to 24-37 months in North-West Ethiopia. Blood Leishmania PCR was done systematically. This case series reports on ten HIV-coinfected individuals with chronic VL (≥3 VL episodes during follow-up) for up to 37 months, and three individuals with asymptomatic Leishmania infection for up to 24 months.
RESULTS
All ten chronic VL cases were male, on antiretroviral treatment, with 0-11 relapses before enrollment. Median baseline CD4 counts were 82 cells/µL. They displayed three to six VL treatment episodes over a period up to 37 months. Leishmania blood PCR levels were strongly positive for almost the entire follow-up time (median Ct value 26 (IQR 23-30), including during periods between VL treatment. Additionally, we describe three HIV-infected individuals with asymptomatic Leishmania infection and without VL history, with equally strong Leishmania parasitemia over a period of up to 24 months without developing VL. All were on antiretroviral treatment at enrollment, with baseline CD4 counts ranging from 78 to 350 cells/µL.
CONCLUSION
These are the first data on chronic parasitemia in HIV-infected individuals from L donovani endemic areas. HIV patients with asymptomatic and symptomatic Leishmania infection could potentially be highly infectious and constitute Leishmania superspreaders. Xenodiagnosis studies are required to confirm infectiousness.
Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) are one of the key interventions in the global fight against malaria. Since 2014, mass distribution campaigns of LLINs aim for universal access by all citizens of Burundi. In this context, we assess the impact of LLINs mass distribution campaigns on malaria incidence, focusing on the endemic highland health districts. We also explored the possible correlation between observed trends in malaria incidence with any variations in climate conditions.
METHODS
Malaria cases for 2011—2019 were obtained from the National Health Information System. We developed a generalised additive model based on a time series of routinely collected data with malaria incidence as the response variable and timing of LLIN distribution as an explanatory variable to investigate the duration and magnitude of the LLIN effect on malaria incidence. We added a seasonal and continuous-time component as further explanatory variables, and health district as a random effect to account for random natural variation in malaria cases between districts.
RESULTS
Malaria transmission in Burundian highlands was clearly seasonal and increased non-linearly over the study period. Further, a fast and steep decline of malaria incidence was noted during the first year after mass LLIN distribution (p<0.0001). In years 2 and 3 after distribution, malaria cases started to rise again to levels higher than before the control intervention.
CONCLUSION
This study highlights that LLINs did reduce the incidence in the first year after a mass distribution campaign, but in the context of Burundi, LLINs lost their impact after only 1 year.
In Ethiopia, case fatality rates among subgroups of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) patients are high. A clinical prognostic score for death in VL patients could contribute to optimal management and reduction of these case fatality rates. We aimed to identify predictors of death from VL, and to develop and externally validate a clinical prognostic score for death in VL patients, in a high HIV co-infection burden area in Ethiopia.
METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS
We conducted a retrospective cohort study in north west Ethiopia. Predictors with an adjusted likelihood ratio ≥1.5 or ≤0.67 were retained to calculate the predictor score. The derivation cohort consisted of 1686 VL patients treated at an upgraded health center and the external validation cohort consisted of 404 VL patients treated in hospital. There were 99 deaths in the derivation cohort and 53 deaths in the external validation cohort. The predictors of death were: age >40 years (score +1); HIV seropositive (score +1); HIV seronegative (score -1); hemoglobin ≤6.5 g/dl (score +1); bleeding (score +1); jaundice (score +1); edema (score +1); ascites (score +2) and tuberculosis (score +1). The total predictor score per patient ranged from -1 to +5. A score of -1, indicated a low risk of death (1.0%), a score of 0 an intermediate risk of death (3.8%) and a score of +1 to +5, a high risk of death (10.4–85.7%). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.83 (95% confidence interval: 0.79–0.87) in derivation, and 0.78 (95% confidence interval: 0.72–0.83) in external validation.
CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE
The overall performance of the score was good. The score can enable the early detection of VL cases at high risk of death, which can inform operational, clinical management guidelines, and VL program management. Implementation of focused strategies could contribute to optimal management and reduction of the case fatality rates.